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Elon Musk: “The default plan is to launch hopefully several starships to…”

Featuring: Elon Musk, Senior Advisor to the President, Head of Department of Government Efficiency | National

oe Rogan Experience #2281 - Elon Musk - Part 2

Published February 28, 2025 | Video Starts at 27:28

So the next orbital synchronization is November of next year and you can launch plus minus a month roughly. So we'd have to launch in November or December of next year. So the, The default plan is to launch hopefully several starships to Mars at the end of next year. And what would they be doing? Well, at first we're just going to try to land on Mars and see if we succeed in landing. Do we succeed in landing? (27:28–27:37)

CLAIM

Asserts the plan to launch several starships to Mars by the end of next year.

This is an excerpt from a raw transcript. The assertions have not been audited or verified. Tap the video to view the source footage and understand the context.

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Elon Musk

“SpaceX is as the most advanced rocket technology in the world.”
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“To the best of my knowledge, there is not any magic. There's not like some super advanced propulsion technology.”
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“I have equivalent of like an all access pass from a security clearance standpoint.”
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“I know these weapons manufacturing companies like Boeing, Lockheed and Northrop...they do not have, there's no breakthrough that they have.”
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“SpaceX launches 90% of all satellite mass to orbit.”
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“We're launching a rocket every two days.”
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“UFO resolution has stayed flat despite megapixels and cameras going super high.”
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“There have been multiple times where the Air Force or Navy has called SpaceX and said they think they've seen aliens.”
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“Those are our satellites. They're moving at 16,000 miles an hour.”
oe Rogan Experience #2281 - Elon Musk - Part 2 | Uploaded February 28, 2025 | 09:06-09:20
“They're not stealthy against any advanced radar system, by the way. It doesn't work.”
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“The fundamental breakthrough we're aiming for at SpaceX is a fully and rapidly reusable orbital rocket where both stages are fully and…”
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“Once you have full and rapid reusability, the cost of access to space drops by a factor of 100.”
oe Rogan Experience #2281 - Elon Musk - Part 2 | Uploaded February 28, 2025 | 12:33-12:41
“It can drop the cost of going cost per ton to the surface of Mars by a factor of 10,000.”
oe Rogan Experience #2281 - Elon Musk - Part 2 | Uploaded February 28, 2025 | 12:58-13:07
“I think we'll achieve reusability of the ship this year and I think we'll achieve rapid reusability of the whole stack ship and booster next…”
oe Rogan Experience #2281 - Elon Musk - Part 2 | Uploaded February 28, 2025 | 14:05-14:18
“No one has ever developed a fully reusable orbital heat shield.”
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“We had to vertically integrate the entire manufacturing of the tile from basic raw materials to a finished tile.”
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“It would take them several months, like eight, nine months to refurbish a space shuttle between each flight.”
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“I'm confident that [the problem of tile cracking] is solvable.”
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“I think we'll probably recover the ship sometime this year and then we might be able to refly1, but probably with a fair bit of work by the…”
oe Rogan Experience #2281 - Elon Musk - Part 2 | Uploaded February 28, 2025 | 24:59-25:12
“Reduce the cost of access to space by a factor of 100.”
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“We've taken over 50 people, over 50 astronauts [to orbit and back].”
oe Rogan Experience #2281 - Elon Musk - Part 2 | Uploaded February 28, 2025 | 25:50-25:54
“We do it routinely, basically. It's not a. We've, we've been doing this for a few years.”
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“Probably about four weeks or so. It's depending on weather and other considerations. It's about a month away.”
oe Rogan Experience #2281 - Elon Musk - Part 2 | Uploaded February 28, 2025 | 26:12-26:23
“Obviously we, we could have brought them back way sooner.”
oe Rogan Experience #2281 - Elon Musk - Part 2 | Uploaded February 28, 2025 | 26:36-26:40
“The Earth and Mars orbits synchronize every two years or every 26 months technically.”
oe Rogan Experience #2281 - Elon Musk - Part 2 | Uploaded February 28, 2025 | 27:03-27:13
“Mars at closest approach is roughly four light minutes. And when it's on the other side of the sun, it's about 12 light minutes.”
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“I think we can do this in, I don't know, at least I think we do it within 15 Earth Mars synchronization events or you know, so basically…”
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“I think as a rough approximation, we need about a million tons to the surface of Mars, maybe a million people.”
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“At current birth rates, in three generations, Korea will be about 4% of its current size.”
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“They're only at one third replacement rate. So if you have three generations, that's your 1 27th of your current population, which is 3%…”
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“Basically, population collapse happens fast, so it seems to be accelerating in most parts of the world.”
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“Six months? Yeah, six months, roughly.”
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“No trips to Mars have failed because of micrometeorites.”
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“If you hit the main heat shield, you've got a high risk of not making it back.”
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“Micrometeorite shielding doesn't work well on the primary heat shield.”
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“I always thought AI was going to be way smarter than humans and an existential risk.”
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“The whole idea of creating OpenAI was my idea.”
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“OpenAI has turned into a closed source for maximum profit AI.”
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“GROK is at least aspirationally a maximally truth seeking AI, even if that truth is politically incorrect.”
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“If you program an AI and say like, like the only acceptable outcome is a diverse outcome and then, and that's like a mandate from the AI…”
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“People ask the AI which is worse, like Global Thermonuclear War or misgendering Caitlyn Jenner. And it would say, misgendering Caitlyn…”
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“If you program an AI to think that, like, misgendering is the worst thing that could possibly occur, then, well, it could do something…”
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“I think we're training toward to having something that's smarter than any human, smarter than the smartest human by maybe next year or…”
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“There's a level beyond that which is say, like smarter than all humans combined, which frankly is around 2029 or 2030.”
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“I think the probability of a good outcome is like 80% likely.”
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“Some computers are 20, 30 years old, with software written 40, 50 years ago.”
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“There are 20 million people marked as alive in the Social Security database.”
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“The Government Accountability Office identified [the Social Security database issue] in 2018.”
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“There's zero percent chance that [the person who attempted to assassinate Trump] has no social media footprint.”
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“The cell phone records would be very telling because you can see what cell phones were close to other cell phones.”
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“For the Epstein island, they... the cell phone records were leaked.”
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“It's precise enough. You can see if you're walking down a path on Epstein Island.”
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“There have been other people that have been intercepted on their way to kill Trump.”
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“They were literally Saying that, like, Trump is. Yeah. Worse than Hitler, Mussolini and Stalin combined.”
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“The Clinton campaign funded a fake conspiracy theory, a fake Russia collusion hoax regarding Trump that was completely false.”
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“They also repeated the fine people hoax that said that Trump called Nazis neo Nazis fine people, which is demonstrably false.”
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“I just completely lost respect for Obama when he repeated that lie a few days before the election, knowing it's false.”
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“My sort of rough guess is that while, like, I think maybe three quarters of the graft is Democratic, I think there's like, maybe, I don't…”
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“Insider trading. And just there's the curious case of how do people in Congress or whatever become wealthy over time?”
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“I think maybe we should pay politicians more, frankly, because it reduces the forcing function for graft.”
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“Maybe counterintuitively, if politicians got paid a lot more, then they wouldn't feel like that. There's so much of a forcing function for…”
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“It's more than just insider trading. Like the insider trading stuff, like the stock portfolio stuff is quite trackable.”
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“There were two guys that traveled to Austin to kill me.”
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“Both were in Travis County Jail at the same time.”
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“They've both been released, by the way.”
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“The second guy had like chief serial killer in his bio on his X profile.”
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“They'Re doing the same thing to me that they did to Trump.”
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“I'm the same person that I was a year ago. Nothing's changed, really.”
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“If you read the sort of legacy mainstream media, their propaganda stream is that I am a completely different human.”
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“Two years ago, I was like a hero of the left.”
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“They use associated propaganda.”
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“They even try to demonize, in fact, at least partially successfully demonized. Like Tim Oven.”
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“I'm overall pro vaccine, meaning we think we should have some reasonable number of vaccines against major ailments.”
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“AI can look at all the studies and look at all the data, cross check everything and Give you good recommendations.”
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“You can upload your X rays and your MRI images to Grok and it'll give you a medical diagnosis.”
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“You can literally take a photograph of your blood work...upload that to Grok, and it will tell you if there's...something wrong.”
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“And what about all these so called Proud Boy rallies or whatever? And it's like they've always got masks and they've always got the same…”
oe Rogan Experience #2281 - Elon Musk - Part 2 | Uploaded February 28, 2025 | 1:38:45-1:38:56
“But wait, we're always gonna dox them. Except these guys.”
oe Rogan Experience #2281 - Elon Musk - Part 2 | Uploaded February 28, 2025 | 1:38:57-1:39:02
“Doesn't that seem like an odd coincidence?”
oe Rogan Experience #2281 - Elon Musk - Part 2 | Uploaded February 28, 2025 | 1:39:28-1:39:31
“How come never nobody ever followed them and doxed them?”
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