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Elon Musk: “Six months? Yeah, six months, roughly.”

Featuring: Elon Musk, Senior Advisor to the President, Head of Department of Government Efficiency | National

oe Rogan Experience #2281 - Elon Musk - Part 2

Published February 28, 2025 | Video Starts at 33:35

Then it's headed our way. Yeah. Now what is the fear of your. It's a long journey to Mars. You're sending people. It's a Six month. How many months will it take? Six months? Yeah, six months, roughly. What about stuff that's out there? Like, how much of a fear is it of micrometeors. Or any of the possibilities? What can you do to mitigate that? I think, actually. (33:35–33:38)

CLAIM

Asserts the estimated travel time to Mars.

This is an excerpt from a raw transcript. The assertions have not been audited or verified. Tap the video to view the source footage and understand the context.

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Elon Musk

“SpaceX is as the most advanced rocket technology in the world.”
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“To the best of my knowledge, there is not any magic. There's not like some super advanced propulsion technology.”
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“I have equivalent of like an all access pass from a security clearance standpoint.”
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“I know these weapons manufacturing companies like Boeing, Lockheed and Northrop...they do not have, there's no breakthrough that they have.”
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“SpaceX launches 90% of all satellite mass to orbit.”
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“We're launching a rocket every two days.”
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“UFO resolution has stayed flat despite megapixels and cameras going super high.”
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“There have been multiple times where the Air Force or Navy has called SpaceX and said they think they've seen aliens.”
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“Those are our satellites. They're moving at 16,000 miles an hour.”
oe Rogan Experience #2281 - Elon Musk - Part 2 | Uploaded February 28, 2025 | 09:06-09:20
“They're not stealthy against any advanced radar system, by the way. It doesn't work.”
oe Rogan Experience #2281 - Elon Musk - Part 2 | Uploaded February 28, 2025 | 09:58-10:04
“The fundamental breakthrough we're aiming for at SpaceX is a fully and rapidly reusable orbital rocket where both stages are fully and…”
oe Rogan Experience #2281 - Elon Musk - Part 2 | Uploaded February 28, 2025 | 11:28-11:38
“Once you have full and rapid reusability, the cost of access to space drops by a factor of 100.”
oe Rogan Experience #2281 - Elon Musk - Part 2 | Uploaded February 28, 2025 | 12:33-12:41
“It can drop the cost of going cost per ton to the surface of Mars by a factor of 10,000.”
oe Rogan Experience #2281 - Elon Musk - Part 2 | Uploaded February 28, 2025 | 12:58-13:07
“I think we'll achieve reusability of the ship this year and I think we'll achieve rapid reusability of the whole stack ship and booster next…”
oe Rogan Experience #2281 - Elon Musk - Part 2 | Uploaded February 28, 2025 | 14:05-14:18
“No one has ever developed a fully reusable orbital heat shield.”
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“We had to vertically integrate the entire manufacturing of the tile from basic raw materials to a finished tile.”
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“It would take them several months, like eight, nine months to refurbish a space shuttle between each flight.”
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“I'm confident that [the problem of tile cracking] is solvable.”
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“I think we'll probably recover the ship sometime this year and then we might be able to refly1, but probably with a fair bit of work by the…”
oe Rogan Experience #2281 - Elon Musk - Part 2 | Uploaded February 28, 2025 | 24:59-25:12
“Reduce the cost of access to space by a factor of 100.”
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“We've taken over 50 people, over 50 astronauts [to orbit and back].”
oe Rogan Experience #2281 - Elon Musk - Part 2 | Uploaded February 28, 2025 | 25:50-25:54
“We do it routinely, basically. It's not a. We've, we've been doing this for a few years.”
oe Rogan Experience #2281 - Elon Musk - Part 2 | Uploaded February 28, 2025 | 26:00-26:05
“Probably about four weeks or so. It's depending on weather and other considerations. It's about a month away.”
oe Rogan Experience #2281 - Elon Musk - Part 2 | Uploaded February 28, 2025 | 26:12-26:23
“Obviously we, we could have brought them back way sooner.”
oe Rogan Experience #2281 - Elon Musk - Part 2 | Uploaded February 28, 2025 | 26:36-26:40
“The Earth and Mars orbits synchronize every two years or every 26 months technically.”
oe Rogan Experience #2281 - Elon Musk - Part 2 | Uploaded February 28, 2025 | 27:03-27:13
“The default plan is to launch hopefully several starships to Mars at the end of next year.”
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“Mars at closest approach is roughly four light minutes. And when it's on the other side of the sun, it's about 12 light minutes.”
oe Rogan Experience #2281 - Elon Musk - Part 2 | Uploaded February 28, 2025 | 28:35-28:44
“I think we can do this in, I don't know, at least I think we do it within 15 Earth Mars synchronization events or you know, so basically…”
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“I think as a rough approximation, we need about a million tons to the surface of Mars, maybe a million people.”
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“At current birth rates, in three generations, Korea will be about 4% of its current size.”
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“They're only at one third replacement rate. So if you have three generations, that's your 1 27th of your current population, which is 3%…”
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“Basically, population collapse happens fast, so it seems to be accelerating in most parts of the world.”
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“No trips to Mars have failed because of micrometeorites.”
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“If you hit the main heat shield, you've got a high risk of not making it back.”
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“Micrometeorite shielding doesn't work well on the primary heat shield.”
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“I always thought AI was going to be way smarter than humans and an existential risk.”
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“The whole idea of creating OpenAI was my idea.”
oe Rogan Experience #2281 - Elon Musk - Part 2 | Uploaded February 28, 2025 | 40:35-40:41
“OpenAI has turned into a closed source for maximum profit AI.”
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“GROK is at least aspirationally a maximally truth seeking AI, even if that truth is politically incorrect.”
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“If you program an AI and say like, like the only acceptable outcome is a diverse outcome and then, and that's like a mandate from the AI…”
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“People ask the AI which is worse, like Global Thermonuclear War or misgendering Caitlyn Jenner. And it would say, misgendering Caitlyn…”
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“If you program an AI to think that, like, misgendering is the worst thing that could possibly occur, then, well, it could do something…”
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“I think we're training toward to having something that's smarter than any human, smarter than the smartest human by maybe next year or…”
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“There's a level beyond that which is say, like smarter than all humans combined, which frankly is around 2029 or 2030.”
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“I think the probability of a good outcome is like 80% likely.”
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“Some computers are 20, 30 years old, with software written 40, 50 years ago.”
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“There are 20 million people marked as alive in the Social Security database.”
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“The Government Accountability Office identified [the Social Security database issue] in 2018.”
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“There's zero percent chance that [the person who attempted to assassinate Trump] has no social media footprint.”
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“The cell phone records would be very telling because you can see what cell phones were close to other cell phones.”
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“For the Epstein island, they... the cell phone records were leaked.”
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“It's precise enough. You can see if you're walking down a path on Epstein Island.”
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“There have been other people that have been intercepted on their way to kill Trump.”
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“They were literally Saying that, like, Trump is. Yeah. Worse than Hitler, Mussolini and Stalin combined.”
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“The Clinton campaign funded a fake conspiracy theory, a fake Russia collusion hoax regarding Trump that was completely false.”
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“They also repeated the fine people hoax that said that Trump called Nazis neo Nazis fine people, which is demonstrably false.”
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“I just completely lost respect for Obama when he repeated that lie a few days before the election, knowing it's false.”
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“My sort of rough guess is that while, like, I think maybe three quarters of the graft is Democratic, I think there's like, maybe, I don't…”
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“Insider trading. And just there's the curious case of how do people in Congress or whatever become wealthy over time?”
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“I think maybe we should pay politicians more, frankly, because it reduces the forcing function for graft.”
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“Maybe counterintuitively, if politicians got paid a lot more, then they wouldn't feel like that. There's so much of a forcing function for…”
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“It's more than just insider trading. Like the insider trading stuff, like the stock portfolio stuff is quite trackable.”
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“There were two guys that traveled to Austin to kill me.”
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“Both were in Travis County Jail at the same time.”
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“They've both been released, by the way.”
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“The second guy had like chief serial killer in his bio on his X profile.”
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“They'Re doing the same thing to me that they did to Trump.”
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“I'm the same person that I was a year ago. Nothing's changed, really.”
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“If you read the sort of legacy mainstream media, their propaganda stream is that I am a completely different human.”
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“Two years ago, I was like a hero of the left.”
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“They use associated propaganda.”
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“They even try to demonize, in fact, at least partially successfully demonized. Like Tim Oven.”
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“I'm overall pro vaccine, meaning we think we should have some reasonable number of vaccines against major ailments.”
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“AI can look at all the studies and look at all the data, cross check everything and Give you good recommendations.”
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“You can upload your X rays and your MRI images to Grok and it'll give you a medical diagnosis.”
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“You can literally take a photograph of your blood work...upload that to Grok, and it will tell you if there's...something wrong.”
oe Rogan Experience #2281 - Elon Musk - Part 2 | Uploaded February 28, 2025 | 1:32:47-1:33:07
“And what about all these so called Proud Boy rallies or whatever? And it's like they've always got masks and they've always got the same…”
oe Rogan Experience #2281 - Elon Musk - Part 2 | Uploaded February 28, 2025 | 1:38:45-1:38:56
“But wait, we're always gonna dox them. Except these guys.”
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“Doesn't that seem like an odd coincidence?”
oe Rogan Experience #2281 - Elon Musk - Part 2 | Uploaded February 28, 2025 | 1:39:28-1:39:31
“How come never nobody ever followed them and doxed them?”
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