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Elon Musk: “I'm confident that [the problem of tile cracking] is…”

Featuring: Elon Musk, Senior Advisor to the President, Head of Department of Government Efficiency | National

oe Rogan Experience #2281 - Elon Musk - Part 2

Published February 28, 2025 | Video Starts at 24:01

This was a very hard problem. Yeah, yeah. Delicate balance. But you're confident that you guys are. Going to be able to crack it at this point? I'm confident that [the problem of tile cracking] is solvable. Yeah, it just needs a certain amount of versions of it. That's why when these things blow up, you're like, yeah, we expect them to blow up. Yeah. (24:01)

CLAIM

Asserts confidence in solving the problem of tile cracking on spacecraft.

This is an excerpt from a raw transcript. The assertions have not been audited or verified. Tap the video to view the source footage and understand the context.

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Elon Musk

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“To the best of my knowledge, there is not any magic. There's not like some super advanced propulsion technology.”
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“I have equivalent of like an all access pass from a security clearance standpoint.”
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“SpaceX launches 90% of all satellite mass to orbit.”
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“We're launching a rocket every two days.”
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“UFO resolution has stayed flat despite megapixels and cameras going super high.”
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“There have been multiple times where the Air Force or Navy has called SpaceX and said they think they've seen aliens.”
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“Those are our satellites. They're moving at 16,000 miles an hour.”
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“They're not stealthy against any advanced radar system, by the way. It doesn't work.”
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“The fundamental breakthrough we're aiming for at SpaceX is a fully and rapidly reusable orbital rocket where both stages are fully and…”
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“Once you have full and rapid reusability, the cost of access to space drops by a factor of 100.”
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“It can drop the cost of going cost per ton to the surface of Mars by a factor of 10,000.”
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“I think we'll achieve reusability of the ship this year and I think we'll achieve rapid reusability of the whole stack ship and booster next…”
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“No one has ever developed a fully reusable orbital heat shield.”
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“We had to vertically integrate the entire manufacturing of the tile from basic raw materials to a finished tile.”
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“It would take them several months, like eight, nine months to refurbish a space shuttle between each flight.”
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“I think we'll probably recover the ship sometime this year and then we might be able to refly1, but probably with a fair bit of work by the…”
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“Reduce the cost of access to space by a factor of 100.”
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“We've taken over 50 people, over 50 astronauts [to orbit and back].”
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“We do it routinely, basically. It's not a. We've, we've been doing this for a few years.”
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“Probably about four weeks or so. It's depending on weather and other considerations. It's about a month away.”
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“Obviously we, we could have brought them back way sooner.”
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“The Earth and Mars orbits synchronize every two years or every 26 months technically.”
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“The default plan is to launch hopefully several starships to Mars at the end of next year.”
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“Mars at closest approach is roughly four light minutes. And when it's on the other side of the sun, it's about 12 light minutes.”
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“I think we can do this in, I don't know, at least I think we do it within 15 Earth Mars synchronization events or you know, so basically…”
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“I think as a rough approximation, we need about a million tons to the surface of Mars, maybe a million people.”
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“At current birth rates, in three generations, Korea will be about 4% of its current size.”
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“They're only at one third replacement rate. So if you have three generations, that's your 1 27th of your current population, which is 3%…”
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“Basically, population collapse happens fast, so it seems to be accelerating in most parts of the world.”
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“Six months? Yeah, six months, roughly.”
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“No trips to Mars have failed because of micrometeorites.”
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“If you hit the main heat shield, you've got a high risk of not making it back.”
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“The Clinton campaign funded a fake conspiracy theory, a fake Russia collusion hoax regarding Trump that was completely false.”
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