Elon Musk: “I think the probability of a good outcome is like 80%…”

“Now, if harnessed correctly, could that solve some of these problems like the heat shield problem and some technical problems or some, some material science problems that maybe we're still grappling with? Is there potential for a net benefit? Yeah, there is actually. I think the probability of a good outcome is like 80% likely. 80%, that's my, that's my rough estimate. So in a way that the cup is 80 full. That makes me feel a lot better. Yeah. Only 20 chance of annihilation.” (48:58–49:05)

This is an excerpt from a raw transcript. The assertions have not been audited or verified. Tap the video to view the source footage and understand the context.