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Joshua Polacheck: “Phoenix or Maricopa county is on its way to being a 50 50…”

Featuring: Joshua Polacheck, Democratic | Former Candidate, Arizona Corporation Commission

Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party

Published November 10, 2020 | Video Starts at 32:36

Northern Virginia voted for Republicans as recently as George Bush in 2004. It was very competitive 2008, and now it's 70 30. And so I believe that our Richmond equivalent, which is Phoenix or Maricopa county is on its way to being a 50 50 tie or a 52 48 advantage for us. And with a 20 point or even, I believe we can get it up to 25 30 point advantage in Pima county, that we can counterbalance the still very conservative … (32:36–32:45)

CLAIM

Asserts that Phoenix or Maricopa County is trending towards a 50-50 tie or a slight Democratic advantage.

This is an excerpt from a raw transcript. The assertions have not been audited or verified. Tap the video to view the source footage and understand the context.

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Joshua Polacheck

“Greater Tucson provided the margin of victory that delivered this state to Joe Biden and Kamala Harris, to Mark Kelly, to Proposition 208…”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 01:35-01:50
“We had turnout rates over 80% in several legislative districts that, FYI, were not facing very competitive down ballot races.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 02:17-02:32
“We had some precincts with turnout rates over 95%.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 02:31-02:36
“We had precincts where we had turnout rates that went from sub 50 and even sub 40% four years ago to over 60% this election.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 02:31-02:50
“This is the first time we've seen this margin of victory over an incumbent president since... probably this was for sure bigger than 1980…”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 03:16-03:33
“This will be the most diverse set of officials we've had in the county, in Pima county history.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 03:42-03:53
“We smash through the budgeted, the expected budgeted income for this election, both with large donors, with medium donors, and with small…”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 05:03-05:18
“Our top petative vote getter in Pima county was Gabriella Caceres Kelly for recorder, the first indigenous woman to win, or first indigenous…”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 05:40-05:59
“We believe, looking at the data, that [Gabriella Caceres Kelly] got tens of thousands of crossover voters from the Republicans.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 06:12-06:20
“We need to make sure that we sustain [the increased voter turnout] for a very competitive, open seat gubernatorial race in 2022, for the…”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 06:54-07:21
“We worked harder than they did.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 08:10-08:12
“We had better candidates and we offered a better vision for the county, for the state, and for the country than the other side did.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 08:16-08:25
“This is going to be borne out in exit polling where people, the top issues were issues that are core democratic issues. Healthcare…”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 08:26-08:40
“Rex's opponent... signed on to the privatization [of] our flagship community college.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 08:47-08:58
“We have a record that he couldn't run away from of privatizing that.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 09:04-09:10
“Joanna Mendoza and Felipe Perez have lost LD eleven.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 09:46-09:53
“They've done better than any other Democrat has done historically over the last ten years that that district has existed with incredibly…”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 09:54-10:06
“We are seeing a potential realignment politically across the county, across the state, and across America.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 10:06-10:15
“A global plague is not [a slow-moving disaster like climate change].”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 10:33-10:36
“They might disagree with us on marginal tax rates, but they do agree with us on the use of science as a basis for making public policy…”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 10:39-10:50
“It was a nonpartisan race. There was no Dem or Rep next to Kat or [her opponent's] names.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 11:04-11:11
“That allowed... people who had a tribal identity affiliation with the Republican Party... to vote in line with their actual thoughts about…”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 11:21-11:33
“It was a race that I think hinged on questions of both competence and whether or not you want to privatize PCC.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 11:40-11:49
“A lot of people want public education through the community college and the university level.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 11:49-11:56
“It's a radical idea from the republican fringe that [Kat's opponent] signed onto.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 12:00-12:07
“The union vote was very [important].”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 12:23-12:26
“We've had a century's worth of support with organized labor here.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 12:51-12:56
“This victory really can be traced back to 2010 and the radicalization of the GOP in Arizona by the Tea Party.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 12:58-13:10
“Arizona's political system and a lot of the machinery, our late primaries and other things like that, are designed as incumbent protection…”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 15:13-15:30
“I'm hoping that the next election is not going to be held under pandemic circumstances.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 16:08-16:15
“We need to be having more conversations at a neighborhood level, face to face conversations, first degree conversations.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 16:15-16:22
“We need to be having more conversations at a neighborhood level, face to face conversations, first degree conversations.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 16:15-16:22
“Republicans are obviously running scared. It's a d. You might know the exact numbers, but I think it's an r plus six, maybe r plus eight…”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 16:44-16:54
“We got so close this time with two very dynamic candidates.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 16:53-16:59
“I believe we got more votes. It's just where our voters live and the way that the districts are drawn.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 19:27-19:35
“Even with an independent redistricting commission ten years ago, just the settlement pattern patterns of our voters.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 19:36-19:44
“In Wisconsin, our party up there won 61% of the state legislative House votes and got only 48% of the seats.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 19:43-19:58
“I think we've won every seat that is r plus three or better for us.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 20:03-20:10
“I don't think the Republicans have a single seat in either the House, the state House, or the state Senate. That is a net democratic…”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 20:11-20:22
“That district started out rated by the ADLCC because of its demographics and because of its partisan split as a tier three, non-competitive…”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 20:40-21:09
“We as a party have won every single state house and every single state senate seat where we have a positive registration advantage.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 21:10-21:42
“Governor Ducey has very successfully tarnished the independence of the committee on appellate court appointments.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 22:29-22:45
“There are zero Democrats on CACA right now.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 23:09-23:13
“The independents that they have advanced to be the chair for the independent redistricting committee, one actually held a fundraising rally…”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 23:24-23:37
“The other one was a former Republican, former republican lobbyist.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 23:36-23:45
“We have five of the nine Congress seats.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 25:22-25:27
“We've got two US senators.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 25:27-25:30
“We flipped a corporation commission seat.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 25:32-25:36
“The New York Times exit poll has us at 63, 36%.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 26:39-26:44
“It looks like about 1% of the Latinos in the states, or I think it's more proper in Arizona to talk about Chicanos and Mexican Americans…”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 26:45-27:00
“We overlaid census data and precinct turnout data during the pebble period, and we used our phone bank to target those areas.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 28:12-28:22
“We need to work directly with our allied organizations and to bring people into the political process as democratic, identifying voters.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 28:49-29:12
“We have two statewide officials who [have] approval ratings that far outstrip the governors and far outstrip the attorney general.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 29:52-30:00
“The attorney general is incredibly unpopular. His approval ratings are underwater.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 30:10-30:17
“Hobbes and Hoffman are nothing. People like them because they put their heads down and do their jobs.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 30:16-30:23
“This is still a state where the Republicans have a registration edge.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 30:52-30:59
“West Virginia is a state where the Democrats have a registration edge and we haven't been competitive there in a generation.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 31:00-31:08
“Arizona is beginning that path of change [similar to Virginia].”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 31:58-32:07
“We can get it up to 25 30 point advantage in Pima county.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 32:48-32:54
“I believe that the Democratic Party locally, here in Pima county and statewide, will be able to provide that home as early as 2022.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 33:35-33:46
“I believe that whoever our presidential nominee is in 2024, we will deliver Arizona to that nominee and we will re elect Senator Sinema.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 33:46-34:00
“Arizona voted twice for a Republican since, or a Democrat since Truman. That would have been Clinton in 96.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 34:25-34:33
“There are still over 10,000 provisional ballots here in Pima county.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 37:37-37:43
“We should not count our chickens for the sheriff's office before they're hatched. There's still a chance that that race could be…”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 37:56-38:07
“I believe, because of the distribution of the provisional ballots, that Rex is pretty secure in district one, but that could still also…”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 38:06-38:17
“In my mind, there's still at least three outstanding races where the provisional ballots could prove decisive.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 38:23-38:31
“Provisional ballots have traditionally been democratic leaning, but, you know, this is a weird year. Multiple reasons. This is a pandemic…”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 38:40-38:55
“I still have hope for Brian, and I also want us to be, you know, be prepared for things to change in district one and in the sheriff's race.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 39:15-39:28
“We need to hear what the community concerns are and how our party can address those concerns.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 41:02-41:09
“We can't just assume that because the language of somebody's grandparent grandma spoke or the color of their skin that they are Democrats…”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 41:26-41:43
“Steve running in district four motivated an extra five to 10,000 Democrats in that district to come to the polls.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 45:05-45:14
“That could very well be our margin of victory with that.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 45:14-45:18
“We always run strong. We recruit and run strong candidates in there, whoever the EC and the chair are, post redistricting.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 45:46-45:55
“Vice President elect Harris saw this child and told her that she was running for president so that that child could one day be president.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 46:36-46:46
“The top vote getter in a competitive race here in Pima county was Gabby.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 47:01-47:08
“We got closer there than we did in several other districts that were rated tier one and tier two.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 48:27-48:33
“It ended up as a tier one race in the end.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 48:33-48:37
“We gave tens of thousands of dollars to the LDs, to the young Democrats, both the Pima Young Democrats and the U of A young Democrats.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 50:40-50:56
“We paid for organizers on campus.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 51:01-51:06
“Our poll workers fan had an over subscription of poll workers. Unlike the nationwide shortage we saw in Pima county, we had more poll…”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 51:08-51:21
“The average age of our poll workers went down by almost a decade with this election, even compared to the primary.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 51:20-51:26
“Steve Christie, running in supervisor district four, helped us win the electoral college in Arizona when we finally have the count for…”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 53:30-53:42
“By being competitive in supervisor district four, we may have brought five to ten additional democratic voters to the table, and that could…”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 53:41-53:56
“If we do not control the US Senate come January 20, it is going to utterly handicap the ability of the Biden Harris administration to…”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 55:57-56:16
“I believe we can win [the Georgia elections].”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 56:15-56:29
“I personally going to be waking up early before I come into work at PCDP and to be making phone banking calls.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 56:28-56:39
“We need to win those seats and donate if you can.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 56:38-56:44
“I would give to the individual candidates right now because they need to deliver a really encouraging campaign finance report to get the…”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 56:52-57:07
“We need to give right now to the individual candidates so that their November fundraising report is very impressive.”
Joshua Polacheck, Executive Director of the Pima County Democratic Party | Uploaded November 10, 2020 | 57:17-57:25