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Elon Musk: “I think that we might have AI smarter than any single human…”

Featuring: Elon Musk, Senior Advisor to the President, Head of Department of Government Efficiency | National

Elon Musk on DOGE, Optimus, Starlink Smartphones, Evolving with AI, Why the West is Imploding

Published September 10, 2025 | Video Starts at 31:12

Now human. Because of population declines and low growth rate, human intelligence is somewhat plateauing and will actually decline. And my guess is that I think that we might have AI smarter than any single human at anything as soon as next year. Wow. And then probably within five, like, say 20, 30, probably AI is smarter than the sum of all humans. Do you think humans are on the decline because the AI is evolving? (31:12–31:19)

CLAIM

Asserts that AI could surpass human intelligence in specific tasks by next year.

This is an excerpt from a raw transcript. The assertions have not been audited or verified. Tap the video to view the source footage and understand the context.

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Elon Musk

“The company's board proposed a new compensation package for the CEO that could pay him just about $1 trillion in stock.”
Elon Musk on DOGE, Optimus, Starlink Smartphones, Evolving with AI, Why the West is Imploding | Uploaded September 10, 2025 | 00:39-00:46
“The government is basically unfixable. I applaud David's noble efforts. It's good to have talented people in the administration. But at the…”
Elon Musk on DOGE, Optimus, Starlink Smartphones, Evolving with AI, Why the West is Imploding | Uploaded September 10, 2025 | 02:03-02:46
“No one's ever made a fully reusable orbital heat shield.”
Elon Musk on DOGE, Optimus, Starlink Smartphones, Evolving with AI, Why the West is Imploding | Uploaded September 10, 2025 | 24:44-24:48
“We're finalizing the design of Optimus version 3. And that really is going to be a very remarkable robot. It will have essentially the…”
Elon Musk on DOGE, Optimus, Starlink Smartphones, Evolving with AI, Why the West is Imploding | Uploaded September 10, 2025 | 03:25-03:57
“I think the marginal cost of production once you hit a million units per year is probably around the $20,000 range.”
Elon Musk on DOGE, Optimus, Starlink Smartphones, Evolving with AI, Why the West is Imploding | Uploaded September 10, 2025 | 05:24-05:36
“We could not actually buy the actuators for any amount of money. They simply didn't exist.”
Elon Musk on DOGE, Optimus, Starlink Smartphones, Evolving with AI, Why the West is Imploding | Uploaded September 10, 2025 | 08:59-09:04
“We've had to design every electric motor, gearbox and the controlling electronics from scratch, basically from physics first principles.”
Elon Musk on DOGE, Optimus, Starlink Smartphones, Evolving with AI, Why the West is Imploding | Uploaded September 10, 2025 | 09:11-09:20
“Right now we're struggling with the, the final design of the hardware. Like I said, it's really primarily the hand.”
Elon Musk on DOGE, Optimus, Starlink Smartphones, Evolving with AI, Why the West is Imploding | Uploaded September 10, 2025 | 10:06-10:15
“If you wanted to do all the things that a human can do, it turns out you need a humanoid robot.”
Elon Musk on DOGE, Optimus, Starlink Smartphones, Evolving with AI, Why the West is Imploding | Uploaded September 10, 2025 | 11:22-11:27
“At Tesla we basically had two different chip programs, one dojo and one dojo on the training side.”
Elon Musk on DOGE, Optimus, Starlink Smartphones, Evolving with AI, Why the West is Imploding | Uploaded September 10, 2025 | 13:02-13:11
“AI5 will be an immense jump from AI4. By some metrics, the improvement in AI5 will be 40 times better than AI4.”
Elon Musk on DOGE, Optimus, Starlink Smartphones, Evolving with AI, Why the West is Imploding | Uploaded September 10, 2025 | 13:21-13:36
“The current chips, AI4 chips that are in the cars will achieve self-driving safety that is at least 2 to 3 times that of human and maybe…”
Elon Musk on DOGE, Optimus, Starlink Smartphones, Evolving with AI, Why the West is Imploding | Uploaded September 10, 2025 | 15:36-15:54
“The software that will be released for that is coming out over the next few months.”
Elon Musk on DOGE, Optimus, Starlink Smartphones, Evolving with AI, Why the West is Imploding | Uploaded September 10, 2025 | 15:55-16:01
“Version 14 will be the biggest upgrade in Tesla software since version 12.”
Elon Musk on DOGE, Optimus, Starlink Smartphones, Evolving with AI, Why the West is Imploding | Uploaded September 10, 2025 | 16:01-16:07
“SpaceX will deliver high bandwidth connectivity directly from the satellites to the phones.”
Elon Musk on DOGE, Optimus, Starlink Smartphones, Evolving with AI, Why the West is Imploding | Uploaded September 10, 2025 | 17:42-17:55
“The phones that are able to use the spectrum that was acquired probably start shipping in around two years.”
Elon Musk on DOGE, Optimus, Starlink Smartphones, Evolving with AI, Why the West is Imploding | Uploaded September 10, 2025 | 18:11-18:18
“We also need to pull the satellites that are going to communicate on those frequencies.”
Elon Musk on DOGE, Optimus, Starlink Smartphones, Evolving with AI, Why the West is Imploding | Uploaded September 10, 2025 | 18:21-18:26
“You should be able to watch videos anywhere on your phone.”
Elon Musk on DOGE, Optimus, Starlink Smartphones, Evolving with AI, Why the West is Imploding | Uploaded September 10, 2025 | 18:40-18:45
“You could have an account with Starlink that works with your Starlink antenna at home for your Wi-Fi as well as on your phone.”
Elon Musk on DOGE, Optimus, Starlink Smartphones, Evolving with AI, Why the West is Imploding | Uploaded September 10, 2025 | 19:48-20:00
“SpaceX will demonstrate full reusability next year, catching both the booster and the ship and being able to deliver over 100 tons to a…”
Elon Musk on DOGE, Optimus, Starlink Smartphones, Evolving with AI, Why the West is Imploding | Uploaded September 10, 2025 | 21:29-21:43
“Creating a fully reusable orbital rocket is one of the hottest engineering problems ever.”
Elon Musk on DOGE, Optimus, Starlink Smartphones, Evolving with AI, Why the West is Imploding | Uploaded September 10, 2025 | 23:25-23:31
“Next year, I think we'll be able to achieve full reusability.”
Elon Musk on DOGE, Optimus, Starlink Smartphones, Evolving with AI, Why the West is Imploding | Uploaded September 10, 2025 | 24:05-24:10
“GROK is using heavy amounts of inference compute... to correct the, remove the falsehoods, correct the half truths and add the missing…”
Elon Musk on DOGE, Optimus, Starlink Smartphones, Evolving with AI, Why the West is Imploding | Uploaded September 10, 2025 | 27:42-28:12
“Human intelligence is somewhat plateauing and will actually decline.”
Elon Musk on DOGE, Optimus, Starlink Smartphones, Evolving with AI, Why the West is Imploding | Uploaded September 10, 2025 | 31:01-31:06
“Probably within five, like, say 20, 30, probably AI is smarter than the sum of all humans.”
Elon Musk on DOGE, Optimus, Starlink Smartphones, Evolving with AI, Why the West is Imploding | Uploaded September 10, 2025 | 31:22-31:29
“I'm a big proponent of increased birth rate, obviously.”
Elon Musk on DOGE, Optimus, Starlink Smartphones, Evolving with AI, Why the West is Imploding | Uploaded September 10, 2025 | 32:02-32:08
“The actions of the west are indistinguishable from suicide.”
Elon Musk on DOGE, Optimus, Starlink Smartphones, Evolving with AI, Why the West is Imploding | Uploaded September 10, 2025 | 34:29-34:32
“We should go to the moon in order to establish a lunar base.”
Elon Musk on DOGE, Optimus, Starlink Smartphones, Evolving with AI, Why the West is Imploding | Uploaded September 10, 2025 | 39:56-40:00
“There are parts of the moon that are perhaps older than parts of Earth.”
Elon Musk on DOGE, Optimus, Starlink Smartphones, Evolving with AI, Why the West is Imploding | Uploaded September 10, 2025 | 40:03-40:08
“If we can establish a self-sustaining city on Mars, the probable lifespan of consciousness is dramatically greater.”
Elon Musk on DOGE, Optimus, Starlink Smartphones, Evolving with AI, Why the West is Imploding | Uploaded September 10, 2025 | 40:43-40:57
“We know from the fossil record that there have been many mass extinction events.”
Elon Musk on DOGE, Optimus, Starlink Smartphones, Evolving with AI, Why the West is Imploding | Uploaded September 10, 2025 | 41:09-41:13
“The window of opportunity to make life multi-planetary exists now for the first time in the four and a half billion year history of Earth.”
Elon Musk on DOGE, Optimus, Starlink Smartphones, Evolving with AI, Why the West is Imploding | Uploaded September 10, 2025 | 41:31-41:41
“Mars is self-sustaining, that we are truly a multi-planet species and such that we've achieved planetary redundancy.”
Elon Musk on DOGE, Optimus, Starlink Smartphones, Evolving with AI, Why the West is Imploding | Uploaded September 10, 2025 | 42:08-42:23
“The probable lifespan of consciousness increases dramatically as soon as we are a multi-planet species.”
Elon Musk on DOGE, Optimus, Starlink Smartphones, Evolving with AI, Why the West is Imploding | Uploaded September 10, 2025 | 42:38-42:53
“It can be done in 30 years, provided there's an exponential increase in the tonnage to Mars with each successive Mars transfer window.”
Elon Musk on DOGE, Optimus, Starlink Smartphones, Evolving with AI, Why the West is Imploding | Uploaded September 10, 2025 | 43:47-44:01
“Every two years the planets align and you can transfer to Mars.”
Elon Musk on DOGE, Optimus, Starlink Smartphones, Evolving with AI, Why the West is Imploding | Uploaded September 10, 2025 | 44:01-44:06